Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.542131 0.623421 0.712226 0.816375 0.935107 1.066181 1.221795
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.444226 0.558611 0.694464 0.867417 1.081461 1.337385 1.666350
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.367019 0.501095 0.673010 0.908878 1.223325 1.627295 2.184855
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.310427 0.457490 0.659909 0.957443 1.382057 1.964425 2.821758
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.256385 0.405978 0.626008 0.970888 1.495151 2.258885 3.451827
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.219851 0.372143 0.610335 1.006462 1.644534 2.626667 4.245649
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.183005 0.330047 0.573809 1.002493 1.731609 2.913152 4.961091
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.158072 0.302465 0.555156 1.023182 1.860212 3.282374 5.863418
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.131787 0.266986 0.516242 1.001413 1.911720 3.529578 6.596669
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.118542 0.253103 0.513318 1.043349 2.082203 4.005473 7.798304
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.108658 0.243785 0.517111 1.098076 2.284203 4.565292 9.231824
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.095391 0.224714 0.498098 1.103922 2.391036 4.959619 10.404578
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.083101 0.205581 0.476187 1.101334 2.483154 5.343778 11.625022
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072867 0.189043 0.456938 1.101208 2.580663 5.753220 12.958246
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064568 0.175394 0.441721 1.107479 2.693237 6.210251 14.458669
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058646 0.166453 0.435907 1.134680 2.857721 6.802699 16.339497
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051769 0.153522 0.418005 1.129399 2.944850 7.234220 17.918425
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047326 0.146280 0.413145 1.156000 3.113699 7.877083 20.077540
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041694 0.134399 0.393917 1.141775 3.177528 8.279183 21.716519
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.037983 0.127397 0.386672 1.158593 3.324716 8.905232 23.993117
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033157 0.115846 0.364442 1.129688 3.344797 9.214490 25.511685
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.031198 0.113076 0.367333 1.173720 3.573473 10.093848 28.630357
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.029803 0.111892 0.374824 1.232843 3.854544 11.149817 32.359638